Effect of Oil Price Changes on Stock Prices on the Ghana Stock Exchange

ABSTRACT

The study sought to examine the effect of oil prices on stock prices on the Stock Exchange in Ghana. To achieve this, the studies stet out to examine the short and long run effect of oil price on stock prices. The studies also examine the causality between the variables. Using monthly time series data January 2003 to December 2014, and controlling for inflation, money supply, interest rate and exchange, the study found that there is cointegrating relationship among the variables using Johansen co-integration approach. There was found to be a negative long run effect between oil price and stock prices. Also oil price and stock prices were found to be negatively related in the short run. Again, uni-causal relationship was found to flow from oil price to stock prices. Based on these, it is therefore recommended, governments, Ghana Stock Exchange and investors should take measures to mitigate against negative oil price shocks on the stock prices.