Research Papers/Topics in Business Mathematics

Analyzing Expected Returns of a Stock Using the Markov Chain Model and the CAPM

The chances of success of an investor in the stock market depends heavily on the decisions he takes based on his knowledge of the behavior of the stock market. In this study, the behavior of a stock on the Nigerian stock exchange market was studied. The Markov Chain with a threshold to determine movement between states, was used to estimate expected long and short-run returns, and the result was compared to the expected return of the Capital Asset Pricing Model. It was observed that the mea...