A Probability Projection of Male and Female Life Expectancy of Inhabitants Living in Ghana. A Case Study of People Living in the Accra Metropolitan Area

ABSTRACT

This thesis is an educational piece which deals with methods and decision-making ways of detecting for life expectancy in the sub-Saharan region of Ghana precisely the Accra Metropolitan area. The data was picked from the archives of the district health directorate of Accra Metropolitan area. A secondary data was used the variables of interest includes age, number of deaths and population and this was done by searching for the age data of the given period and matching it to the number of deaths. The researcher also simulated population data from the 2010 population census. The type of sampling done was the cluster sampling. The methodology employed consists of the abridged life table means in calculating life expectancy. The data was then forecasted using forecasting methods namely the Lee Carter, the Age Period Cohort model and the Card Blake and Dowd model. The Lee Carter model was seen to be the most efficient model in predicting the life expectancy of people in Accra Metro followed by the CBD model. With the findings one can notice that the neonatal deaths which summed up to 184 with a population of 22,355 had a life expectancy of 71. The middle age ranging from 30 to 54 recorded a life expectancy of 52.3 and 22.8. A diagrammatic view shows a slope from a life expectancy of 71 to 2.5.

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APA

ODURO, A (2021). A Probability Projection of Male and Female Life Expectancy of Inhabitants Living in Ghana. A Case Study of People Living in the Accra Metropolitan Area. Afribary. Retrieved from https://afribary.com/works/a-probability-projection-of-male-and-female-life-expectancy-of-inhabitants-living-in-ghana-a-case-study-of-people-living-in-the-accra-metropolitan-area

MLA 8th

ODURO, ABIGAIL "A Probability Projection of Male and Female Life Expectancy of Inhabitants Living in Ghana. A Case Study of People Living in the Accra Metropolitan Area" Afribary. Afribary, 06 Apr. 2021, https://afribary.com/works/a-probability-projection-of-male-and-female-life-expectancy-of-inhabitants-living-in-ghana-a-case-study-of-people-living-in-the-accra-metropolitan-area. Accessed 21 Jul. 2024.

MLA7

ODURO, ABIGAIL . "A Probability Projection of Male and Female Life Expectancy of Inhabitants Living in Ghana. A Case Study of People Living in the Accra Metropolitan Area". Afribary, Afribary, 06 Apr. 2021. Web. 21 Jul. 2024. < https://afribary.com/works/a-probability-projection-of-male-and-female-life-expectancy-of-inhabitants-living-in-ghana-a-case-study-of-people-living-in-the-accra-metropolitan-area >.

Chicago

ODURO, ABIGAIL . "A Probability Projection of Male and Female Life Expectancy of Inhabitants Living in Ghana. A Case Study of People Living in the Accra Metropolitan Area" Afribary (2021). Accessed July 21, 2024. https://afribary.com/works/a-probability-projection-of-male-and-female-life-expectancy-of-inhabitants-living-in-ghana-a-case-study-of-people-living-in-the-accra-metropolitan-area