The Relationship Between Agricultural Inputs/Extension Services and Household Crop Production in Uganda (1990-2017)

ABSTRACT

The main purpose of this study was to ascertain the nature of the relationship between agricultural inputs/extension services and house hold crop production in Uganda. In doing so, the study sought to unravel the short-run and long-run dynamics between the variables. The study reviewed both theoretical and empirical aspects of relationship between the variables. The study found out co integration between agricultural inputs/extension services and house hold crop production. The existence of co integration implies that there is stable long-run lequilibrium relationship between agricultural inputs/extension services and house hold crop production. They have the same trend processes and can stay in a fixed long-run relationship. However, the VAR analysis reveals that agricultural inputs/extension services significantly and positively impacts house hold crop production in the long run. Furthermore the study revealed that there is a weak negative correlation of 0.0 122 between the variables of study. One important policy implication of our study is that, by knowing the past values of house hold crop production, we can predict rate at which agricultural in puts/extension services will produce in future. Another policy implication is that the government should put more efforts in monitoring and evaluating the agricultural development programs both in the short run and long run as the study revealed that there will be a positive impact in the long run if the programs are well implemented and also chances of no results are in the long run are expected if there is no change in monitoring.