WATER CRESTING PREDICTIONS IN HORIZONTAL OIL WELLS

ABSTRACT

Horizontal well application has sometimes been employed as a way of minimizing excessive water production arising from coning commonly encountered during oil production in vertical wells. Lots of efforts on water coning in vertical wells have been published. Available predictive models in horizontal wells vary from rather simplistic to complex models. This study investigated the development of practical models that combine ease of use with accuracy. Conformal mapping was used to combine steady state flow, volumetric voidage and pressure drop due to gravity effects in horizontal wells to obtain models that predict critical rates and breakthrough times. The results were compared with some existing correlations under varied reservoir fluid and rock properties. The models were also applied to vertical wells. It was observed that critical rates and breakthrough times in horizontal wells are affected directly by effective perneability, well length, oil column height, density contrast between water and oil, the height of the water crest. There is however, an inverse relationship with oil viscosity and production rate. The correlations also provide a means of comparing the performance of horizontal and vertical wells.