Modeling Monthly Average Temperature of Dhahran City of Saudi-Arabia Using Arima Models

6 PAGES (2994 WORDS) Statistics Article/Essay
Subscribe to access this work and thousands more

Temperature is the coldness and hotness of the body and its unit is measured in Celsius. The data used for this 

research work is the average monthly temperature of Dhahran city which is located in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The data 

range is from 1951 to 2010, and sample data of 1951 to 2008 was used for the estimation to choose the best model and the 

sample data from 2009 through 2010 was left for the forecast. Different models were tried but ARIMA (2, 1, 1) (0, 1, 1)12 is 

selected as the best model because of its low sic and aic criteria and also the forecast error, the best model is used for 

forecasting. 


Subscribe to access this work and thousands more